Historical U.S. Presidential Election Odds (1872 - present)

Odds shown are from as close to election day as possible.

Odds from prior to 2012 are from Newspapers.com

Current 2020 election odds

Candidate party: D = Democratic, R = Republican, L-R = Liberal Republican, P = Progressive

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BOLD = Candidate favored to win the election

Year
(Election #)
Winner (Party) Winner Odds Runner-up (Party) Runner-up Odds Electoral College Popular Vote
2012 (57) Barack Obama (D) -450 Mitt Romney (R) +360 332-206 51.1%-47.2%
2008 (56) Barack Obama (D) -900 John McCain (R) +800 365-173 52.9%-45.7%
1888 (26) Benjamin Harrison (R) +105 Grover Cleveland (D) -105 233-168 47.8%-48.6%
1996 (53) Bill Clinton (D) -1000 Bob Dole (R) +600 379-159 49.2%-40.7%
1992 (52) ++ Bill Clinton (D) -800 George H. W. Bush (R) +500 370-168 43.0%-37.5%
1924 (35) Calvin Coolidge (R) -700 John Davis (D) +700 382-149 54.0%-28.8%
2016 (58) Donald Trump (R) +375 Hillary Clinton (D) -550 304-234 46.1%-48.2%
1956 (43) Dwight Eisenhower (R) -600 Adlai Stevenson (D) +500 457-74 57.4%-42.0%
1952 (42) Dwight Eisenhower (R) -120 Adlai Stevenson (D) -120 442-89 55.2%-44.3%
1944 (40) Franklin Roosevelt (D) -340 Thomas Dewey (R) +300 432-99 53.4%-45.9%
1940 (39) Franklin Roosevelt (D) -200 Wendell Willkie (R) +200 449-82 54.7%-44.8%
1936 (38) Franklin Roosevelt (D) -250 Alf Landon (R) +180 523-8 60.8%-36.5%
1932 (37) Franklin Roosevelt (D) -500 Herbert Hoover (R) +500 472-59 57.4%-39.7%
1988 (51) George H. W. Bush (R) -700 Michael Dukakis (D) +400 426-112 53.4%-45.7%
2004 (55) George W. Bush (R) -188 John Kerry (D) +138 286-252 50.7%-48.3%
2000 (54) George W. Bush (R) -175 Al Gore (D) +125 271-267 47.9%-48.4%
1892 (27) Grover Cleveland (D) +125 Benjamin Harrison (R) -125 277-167 46.0%-43.0%
1884 (25) Grover Cleveland (D) +150 James Blaine (R) -150 219-182 48.9%-48.3%
1948 (41) Harry Truman (D) +1500 Thomas Dewey (R) -1800 303-228 49.6%-45.1%
1928 (36) Herbert Hoover (R) -450 Al Smith (D) +450 444-87 58.2%-40.8%
1880 (24) James Garfield (R) +100 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) +100 214-155 48.3%-48.2%
1976 (48) Jimmy Carter (D) +100 Gerald Ford (R) -120 297-241 50.1%-48.0%
1960 (44) John Kennedy (D) -150 Richard Nixon (R) +130 303-234 49.7%-49.6%
1964 (45) Lyndon Johnson (D) -3300 Barry Goldwater (R) +2000 486-52 61.1%-38.5%
1972 (47) Richard Nixon (R) -10000 George McGovern (D) +5000 520-18 60.7%-37.5%
1968 (46) Richard Nixon (R) -220 Hubert Humphrey (D) +180 301-237 43.4%-42.7%
1984 (50) Ronald Reagan (R) -700 Walter Mondale (D) +450 525-13 58.8%-40.6%
1980 (49) Ronald Reagan (R) -110 Jimmy Carter (D) -110 489-49 50.8%-41.0%
1876 (23) Rutherford Hayes (R) +120 Samuel Tilden (D) -120 185-184 47.9%-50.9%
1904 (30) Theodore Roosevelt (R) -600 Alton Brooks Parker (D) +600 336-140 56.4%-37.6%
1872 (22) Ulysses Grant (R) -200 Horace Greeley (L-R) +200 286-66 55.6%-43.8%
1920 (34) Warren Harding (R) -500 James Cox (D) +500 404-127 60.3%-34.2%
1900 (29) William McKinley (R) -350 William Jennings Bryan (D) +300 292-155 51.6%-45.5%
1896 (28) William McKinley (R) -300 William Jennings Bryan (D) +300 271-176 51.0%-46.7%
1908 (31) William Taft (R) -250 William Jennings Bryan (D) +250 321-162 51.6%-43.0%
1916 (33) Woodrow Wilson (D) +110 Charles Evans Hughes (R) -110 277-254 49.2%-46.1%
1912 (32) ** Woodrow Wilson (D) -400 Theodore Roosevelt (P) +300 435-88 41.8%-27.4%

++ 1992: independent candidate Ross Perot was 250-1 to win the election. He did not receive any electoral votes and 18.9% of the popular vote.
** 1912: incumbent Republican President William Taft was +300 to win the election. He received 8 electoral votes and 23.2% of the popular vote.