MLB Season Win Total Projections at the 2014 All-Star Break

Projected wins formula = (Current home win % * Home games remaining) + (Current away win % * Away games remaining)

Projected total within 5 of Vegas total = Too close to call; Projected win > 5 and < 10 = Likely; Projected win > 10 = Lock

Team Vegas win
total
Current
Wins
Projected
wins
Record for
over
Proj Over/Under Status
Arizona Diamondbacks 81.5 40 68 42-24 Under Lock
Atlanta Braves 87.5 52 89 36-31 Over Too close to call
Baltimore Orioles 81.5 52 90 30-38 Over Likely
Boston Red Sox 88.0 43 73 46-21 Under Lock
Chicago Cubs 70.0 40 70 31-37 Push Too close to call
Chicago White Sox 76.5 45 77 32-34 Over Too close to call
Cincinnati Reds 84.5 51 87 34-33 Over Too close to call
Cleveland Indians 80.5 47 81 34-34 Over Too close to call
Colorado Rockies 76.5 40 68 37-30 Under Likely
Detroit Tigers 90.0 53 95 38-33 Over Likely
Houston Astros 62.5 40 67 23-43 Over Too close to call
Kansas City Royals 82.0 48 83 35-33 Over Too close to call
Los Angeles Angels 86.5 57 98 30-38 Over Lock
Los Angeles Dodgers 92.5 54 90 39-26 Under Too close to call
Miami Marlins 69.5 44 75 26-42 Over Likely
Milwaukee Brewers 80.0 53 90 28-38 Over Likely
Minnesota Twins 70.5 44 76 27-41 Over Likely
New York Mets 74.0 45 77 30-37 Over Too close to call
New York Yankees 87.0 47 80 41-27 Under Likely
Oakland Athletics 88.5 59 101 30-37 Over Lock
Philadelphia Phillies 76.5 42 72 35-32 Under Too close to call
Pittsburgh Pirates 84.5 49 83 36-31 Under Too close to call
San Diego Padres 79.0 41 70 39-28 Under Likely
San Francisco Giants 86.5 52 89 35-32 Over Too close to call
Seattle Mariners 81.0 51 87 31-36 Over Likely
St Louis Cardinals 91.5 52 88 40-26 Under Too close to call
Tampa Bay Rays 88.0 44 74 45-20 Under Lock
Texas Rangers 87.0 38 65 50-17 Under Lock
Toronto Blue Jays 80.5 49 83 32-34 Over Too close to call
Washington Nationals 89.5 51 89 39-30 Under Too close to call