Author Archives: RDG Corp

How Rules Changes Affect Betting on MLB in 2020

After much deliberation and give and take, Major League Baseball will finally get underway with an Opening Day that will be on July 23. The coronavirus delayed the start of the season which was originally scheduled to begin in March.

The late start and some key rules changes will affect how bettors approach the 2020 MLB season. There will also be just 60 games in the regular season, something else to keep in mind as a bettor.

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Late Start

With games set for July, August, and September; you can bet on one thing – heat. The hot, humid weather that we get around the country during these months will have an effect on baseball.

The ball itself will travel further in the humid air. Expect more home runs especially in the first two months of the season. 

DH Rule

MLB instituted the new DH rule for this season permitting National League teams to use the designated hitter in place of the starting pitcher. That is big news for teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals. 

The Dodgers have a lineup full of sluggers. Instead of sitting one because the pitcher has to hit, the Dodgers will now add a strong bat to the lineup. Again, that should lead to more run production. 

Lean Toward the Over

When in doubt, bettors might simply take the Over when betting on the Total. The combination of an extra bat in National League lineups and balls traveling further in humid air should lead to more runs. More runs means more Overs, so watch for live odds.

Live Betting

The new three-batter minimum rule will have a profound effect on MLB live betting. Pitchers that enter a game in relief must pitch to at least three batters unless an inning ends or they suffer an injury.

Live bettors will now have a distinct advantage in knowing pitcher-batter matchups in advance. For those disciplined enough to do their research, this could lead to some big wins. If you don’t already, you should consider live betting on baseball.

NFL BETTING – A LITTLE SUPER BOWL HISTORY FOR YOU

Win Totals

One change not being talked about so much is the injured list change for pitchers from 10 days to 15 days. The league has decided to go back to the 15-day IL. Teams, like the Dodgers, can no longer manipulate their rosters.

Teams that place a pitcher on the 15-day IL will not have him for 15 days. That will be huge in a 60-game season. Teams with deep pitching rotations will think twice before placing a pitcher on the injured list. 

Bettors should pay attention to teams that do put pitchers on the 15-day IL. It could impact MLB betting on win totals.

World Series

It would be an absolute upset if the Dodgers (+375) and the Yankees (+400) do not meet in the 2020 World Series. With the addition of the new DH rule, the Dodgers can add another talented bat to the lineup. 

L.A. is loaded with talent with the likes of reigning NL MVP Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, Justin Turner, Corey Seager, Joc Pederson, and former AL MVP Mookie Betts.

The Yankees are not far behind with a lineup full of sluggers that includes Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. If both can stay healthy, New York will hit a ton of home runs. Catcher Gary Sanchez and MVP candidate SS Gleyber Torres are other key pieces in the Yankees lineup. 

It’s hard to imagine a 2020 World Series without MLB’s two most talented teams.

NFL Betting – A Little Super Bowl Odds History For You

By Charles Jay

Looking at the history of the most-watched single-day event in the United States – the Super Bowl – one sees an interesting betting history, punctuated with the knowledge that no game attracts as much in the way of wagering action as it does.

There was a time when favorites dominated things as far as the pointspread was concerned. In fact, underdogs have had to cover eight of the last 12 Super Bowls just to get things back to “respectability.”

A Little-Known Super Bowl Streak | Remains Intact

As things stood after Super Bowl 54, the tally is 27-24-2 ATS in favor of the teams that have been favored with one that was pick'em). And even though four of the five between SB's 50-to-54 had seen margins of eight points or more, the blowouts have not been happening nearly as frequently in recent years.

If you are old enough, you remember that almost on a yearly basis, the “Big Game” was non-competitive. And when you look at the numbers, you'll see that 14 Super Bowls out of the first 54 had been decided by fourteen points or more. That is a pretty high percentage (almost 26%), especially when compared to all games in general.

But only three of the 17 Super Bowls (from 38 to 54) were decided by two touchdowns or more. And even two of those were dramatic to an extent. Sometimes a late touchdown or something that was achieved as a result of a turnover can be the thing that makes a game look more “out of hand” than it really is. A case in point was Super Bowl 54, in which the San Francisco 49ers led 20-10 in the fourth quarter before the Kansas City Chiefs roared back with three touchdowns.

Such a thing can't necessarily be explained away by the fact that the line is “tighter” on this game now than it ever has been. From its early years, there has been a thirst for action, particularly after the Jets beat the Colts in Super Bowl III, which established the “johnny-come-latelys” in the AFL as an entity that had the capacity to compete on equal ground. So there is naturally no lack of focus on the part of sportsbooks when it comes to the task at hand.

As for the propositions, that might be another story entirely. By now you are aware that Super Bowl games are famous for the bevy of props that come with them, and there is seemingly a price on just about everything. When there are more things to put a price on, there is more of an opportunity to get some value on at least one of them. So smart sports bettors are able to cherry pick some of their best proposition plays and do well with them. It's the bettors who want to play practically every prop on the board who get hurt and keep the books in business.

Favorites have won this game straight-up most of the time (with a record of 35-18 SU), but in 14 of these games the number was in double digits. Regardless, the oddsmakers have done more than a decent job of not allowing a bias on one side or the other. Yes, favorites of three points or less (like the Chiefs in SB 54) are 9-6 against the spread. But teams favored by more than that are 18-18-2 ATS.

As for the totals, interestingly enough, that became a situation that was fit to be tied, so to speak. Naturally you may see some discrepancies according to the lines you have followed at any given time, but from our data, as of Super Bowl 54 there had been 26 overs, 26 unders and a push (with no total listed for Super Bowl I). The Super Bowl LIV result (51 points with a posted total of 54) brought things even.

That's pretty amazing.