College Football was a complete dud in week 3, but it was setting up what looks to be the best week of the season so far with multiple top 15 matchups and a lot of conference games getting started. Once we get this far into the season, we are starting to get a feel for who these teams really. This should allow us to really start to attack weaknesses and identify the flaws of most teams.
Michigan vs. Wisconsin (-3)
This is probably the most interesting game on the entire slate even though it may not be the most fun to watch for the offense-focused modern day fan. This game should be smashmouth football headlined by Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor.
The issue here is that there are very faint reports that Michigan’s running back Zach Charbonnet is going to need to undergo a second knee scope that will sideline him for a few weeks. Michigan’s offense has been dreadful this season and they have heavily leaned on Charbonnet in the run game because they lack depth at the position.
I expect Charbonnet to sit in this game and I think that when this news becomes mainstream, the line will move towards Wisconsin even more. Even if none of this happens, Wisconsin has been dominant in 2 games while Michigan has really struggled to get anything going. I love the Badgers -3 here.
Michigan State vs. Northwestern (+9.5)
As showcased last weekend, Michigan State should never be this big of a favorite against another competent power 5 team. Both teams have struggled to move the ball so far this season and the 38 total suggests that should be the case here.
Michigan State is the better team in this game, but spotting Northwestern 9.5 it simply way too much. I expect this game to be a one possession game throughout, allowing NU to cover.
Miami (OH) vs. Ohio State (-39)
I normally stay away from these games due to the massive spread, but this is a situation that I cannot pass up. Ohio State has a defensive line that is 12-14 players deep and has been one of the best defenses in the country through 3 games against much better opponents.
I would leave this game more surprised if Miami scored in the first half than if they were held without a first down. Ohio State’s offense should put up 6 or 7 touchdowns in the first half and their backups are still way more talented than the Redhawks. I expect this to be closer to a 60-point win than a 39 point win.
Notre Dame (+14) vs. Georgia
This is the game of the week and I think that Notre Dame can hand in with the Bulldogs because of their lack of explosiveness within the scheme. Georgia can create explosive plays with their explosive athletes, but they really don’t scheme explosive plays like the teams that have given Notre Dame major issues in the past.
I think that Georgia provides a matchup like Michigan for Notre Dame, but Georgia is a tier above athletically. I think that this sloppier play will keep Notre Dame close and allow them to hang around all game.
Colorado (+7.5) vs. Arizona State
The biggest key to this game is Colorado’s start. I expect the pace and the physicality of the Michigan State game to take a toll on Arizona State, particularly early on. I think that Colorado will be able to use their explosiveness early and jump out to an early lead.
Towards the end of the game, Eno Benjamin and Arizona State should be able to get the Sun Devils back into the game. I expect Colorado to lead early and Arizona State to have late opportunities to score to win the game. Either way, the Buffs cover here.
There are a few of our favorite games for Week 4 of the NCAA Football season. Go get your bets in at our favorite pay per head location at PayPerHead247.
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